The Ability of Financial Ratios to Predict the Index of Banking Sector in Amman Stock Exchange: An empirical study
PDF

Keywords

Financial Ratios; Banking Sector Index; Jordanian Banks; ASE

How to Cite

Alswalmeh, A. and Qaqish, M. (2021) “The Ability of Financial Ratios to Predict the Index of Banking Sector in Amman Stock Exchange: An empirical study”, International Journal of Business Ethics and Governance, 4(1), pp. 86-105. doi: 10.51325/ijbeg.v4i1.55.

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to test the predictive power of the financial ratios (ownership ratio, liquidity ratio, debt ratio, stock turnover ratio, return on equity ratio, return on total assets ratio, and market to book ratio) on the performance of the banking sector in Amman Stock Exchange (ASE). The analysis relies on yearly data for the period 2000-2014. The sample consists of fourteen banks listed on Amman Stock Exchange. Using the ordinary least square method (OLS), we regress the seven selected variables against the index of the banking sector. The findings show that the financial ratios can predict the behavior of the index in the banking sector. There is a statistically significant positive relationship between the liquidity ratio, debt ratio, stock turnover ratio, return on total assets ratio, market to book ratio with the banking index. While the return on equity is negatively associated with the banking index. There is no statistically significant relationship between the ownership ratio and the index in the Amman Stock Exchange.

https://doi.org/10.51325/ijbeg.v4i1.55
PDF

References

Aal-Shabib, D. (2006). Principles of Financial Management. Amman, Jordan, Dar Al-Manaheg Publishing, First Edition. (in Arabic)

Aal-Shabib, D. (2012). Financial and Monetary Markets. Amman, Jordan, Dar Al-Maisarah Publishing. (in Arabic)

Abdul-Jabbar, O. and Jafra, A. (2012). The Use of Financial Ratios in Decision Making in Islamic Banks Operating in Jordan- An Analytical Study in Jordanian Islamic Banks, Middle East University, Amman, Jordan. (in Arabic)

Abu Shammala, N. and Al-Dahdhar, M. (2007). Financial management. Knowledge Library, Gaza, Palestine (in Arabic)

Ahmed, M., Al-Kassar, T. (2009). Using Financial Ratios to Evaluate Financial Performance and Predict Corporate Financial Crises (Financial Failure). Zarqa Private University, Zarqa, Jordan. (in Arabic)

Akwamola, H. (2003). Investments and Financial Markets. Amman, Jordan, Dar Al-Safa Publishing and Distribution. (in Arabic)

Alareeni, B. (2018). Does corporate governance influence earnings management in listed companies in Bahrain Bourse?, Journal of Asia Business Studies, 12(4), 551-570. https://doi.org/10.1108/JABS-06-2017-0082

Alareeni, B. (2019). A Review of Auditors' GCOs, Statistical Prediction Models and Artificial Intelligence Technology, International Journal of Business Ethics and Governance, 2(1), pp. 19-31. https://doi.org/10.51325/ijbeg.v2i1.30

Alareeni, B., & Branson, J. (2013). Predicting Listed Companies' Failure in Jordan Using Altman Models: A Case Study. International Journal of Business and Management, 8(1), 113-126. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v8n1p113

Al-Douri, M. and Zenad, N. (2003). Computerized Financial Analysis. Dar Wael Publishing, Amman, Jordan. (in Arabic)

Alexakis, C., Patra, T., & Poshakwale, S. (2010). Predictability of stock returns using financial statement information: evidence on semi-strong efficiency of emerging Greek stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 20(16), 1321-1326. https://doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2010.482517

Ali, Q., Maamor, S., Yaacob, H. and Tariq Gill, M. U. (2018). Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Islamic Banks Profitability, International Journal of Business Ethics and Governance, 1(2), pp. 20-35. https://doi.org/10.51325/ijbeg.v1i2.14

Alireza, F., Parviz, M., & Mina, S. (2012). Evaluation of the financial ratio capability to predict the financial crisis of companies. IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance, 9(1), 57.

Al-Najjar, F. (2002). Financial Statements and Financial Analysis. Egypt, the Egyptian Library. (in Arabic)

Al-Nuaimi, A. and Al-Tamimi, A. (2008). Analysis and Financial Planning. Amman, Jordan, Dar Al Yazuri Publishing, Arabic edition. (in Arabic)

Al-Qudah, A. A., Alsharari, N. M., Al-Rjoub, A. M., & Haddad, W. (2013). Importance of Financial Analysis for Published Financial Information to Predict the Stocks Behavior (Case study-ASE-Industrial Sector-Jordan). European Journal of Business and Management, 5(26), 96-102.

Al-Sa'aida, F. and Farid, N. (2004). Brief summary of management and financial analysis. Amman, Jordan, Arab Society Library for Publishing and Distribution. (in Arabic)

Amman Stock Exchange: www.ase.com

Aqel, M. (2000). Introduction to Financial Management and Financial Analysis. Amman, Jordan, Dar Almustaqbal Publishing. (in Arabic)

Asiri, B. K. (2015). How investors perceive financial ratios at different growth opportunities and financial leverages. Journal of Business Studies Quarterly, 6(3), 1.

Bragg, S. M. (2012). Business ratios and formulas: a comprehensive guide (Vol. 577). John Wiley & Sons. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119203155

Central Bank of Jordan: www.cbj.gov.jo

Erdogan, E. O., Erdogan, M., & Ömürbek, V. (2015). Evaluating the effects of various financial ratios on company financial performance: Application in Borsa Istanbul, Business and Economics Research Journal, 6(1), 35-42.

Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (1999). Essentials of econometrics (Vol. 2). Singapore: Irwin/McGraw-Hill.

Halim, S. A., Jaafar, M., & Osman, O. (2011). Assessment of the financial health of malaysian construction firms using financial ratio analysis. International journal of academic research, 3(1).

Hanafi, A.G. (2004). Fundamentals of Financial Analysis and Feasibility Studies. Aleskandaria, Egypt, Dar Al-University Publishing. (in Arabic)

Harringtonn, Diana R (1993). Corporate Financial Analysis, 4 edition, USA, Boston, Homewood.

Hayali, W. (2004). Contemporary Trends in Financial Analysis. Amman, Jordan, Dar Al-Warraq Publishing. (in Arabic)

Hindi, M. I. (2002). Managing Markets and Financial Facility, El Maaref Establishment, Alexandria, Egypt. (in Arabic)

Zslamoglu, M. (2015). Predictive Power of Financial Ratios with Regard to the Turkish Banking Industry an Empirical Study on the Stock Market Index. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 5(2), 249-263. https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.aefr/2015.5.2/102.2.249.263

Jiang, X., & Lee, B. S. (2012). Do decomposed financial ratios predict stock returns and fundamentals better?. Financial Review, 47(3), 531-564. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6288.2012.00339.x

Karajah, A., Rababah, A., Al-Sakran, Y., and Mattar, M. (2002). Management and Financial Analysis. Amman, Jordan, Dar Al Safa Publishing, second edition. (in Arabic)

Khoury, R.S., and Baqasim, M.M. (2006). Effect of Timing of Disclosure of Financial Statements on Stock Prices and Volume: An Empirical Study on Jordanian Public Shareholding Companies. Jordanian Journal of Business Administration, 2(2). (in Arabic)

Malgwi, A. A., & Dahiru, H. (2014). Balanced Scorecard financial measurement of organizational performance: A review. Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(6), 2321-5933. https://doi.org/10.9790/5933-0460110

Matar, M. (2003). Recent trends in financial and credit analysis. Amman, Jordan, Dar Wael Publishing. (in Arabic)

Merza Radhi, D. S. and Sarea, A. (2019). Evaluating Financial Performance of Saudi Listed Firms: Using Statistical Failure Prediction Models, International Journal of Business Ethics and Governance, 2(1), pp. 1-18. https://doi.org/10.51325/ijbeg.v2i1.20

Pilbeam, Keith, (2007). Finance & Financial Markets" 10 edition", England, Bristol.

Robinson, T. R. (2020). International financial statement analysis. John Wiley & Sons.

Sahli, M. (2011). Financial Analysis (Accounting Perspective). Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Accounting Association, Second Edition. (in Arabic)

Shalabi, T. and shalabi, M. (2000). Financial Markets. Amman, Jordan, Dar Wael Publishing. (in Arabic)

Shanti, A. and Shaker, A. (2004). Management and Financial Analysis. Amman, Jordan, Dar Al-Thaithia for Publishing and Distribution. (in Arabic)

Sharifa, J. and Nasser, S. (2013). Measuring the Operational Efficiency of Some Banks Operating in Algeria, Applied Study during the Period (2000-2010), Journal of the researcher, No. 12, University of Qasdi Marbah and Argla, Algeria. (in Arabic)

Shudifat, Kh. (2001). Financial Management and Analysis. Jordan, Amman, Dar Wael publishing and printing.(in Arabic)

Subramanyam, K. R. (2014). Financial statement analysis. McGraw Hill Education.

United Nations (2005). Banking Sector Conduct and Efficiency in Lending in Selected ESCWA Member Countries". United Nations publication, New York, No. 3. (in Arabic)

Zari, A.N.and Farah, G. (2001). Financial Markets. Dar Wael Publishing, Amman, Jordan. (in Arabic)

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Copyright (c) 2021 Array

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.